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Nepal floods could drive insurance losses above $132 mn

Nepal floods could drive insurance losses above $132 mn

Commercial insurance losses from last week’s flooding in Nepal could exceed $132.3 mn with hydropower projects expected to generate most claims, according to Reuters.

The insured losses would cover damage borne by operators of affected power plants. Separate claims are expected across life insurance, personal accident and workers’ compensation as authorities verify deaths and missing persons in areas that remain difficult to reach.

The disaster struck Nepal near its border with China’s Tibet region and caused estimated economic losses of $2.56 bn. More than 1,200 people died and many others remain missing, according to Nepal’s disaster authority.

Eleven hydropower projects operate within the affected region, and several hold standard commercial insurance policies. Insurers are still assessing the extent of physical damage and potential business interruption losses.

Oriental Insurance Company Nepal said hydropower installations along the affected river corridor sustained the largest damage. Roads and other above-ground infrastructure were washed away at several sites.

Oriental Insurance Nepal operates as a unit of the New Delhi-based Indian insurer and is among the larger insurers active in Nepal. Chakraborty said damage assessments remain incomplete because access to several projects is still restricted.

Rasuwagadhi, Upper Trishuli-3A, Chilime and Devighat were directly affected. Surveys at five additional hydropower projects remain underway.

Data from the Nepal Insurance Authority show insurers had received 583 flood-related claims worth $171.13 mn, as of August 31. Chakraborty said those figures largely represent insured exposure rather than final payable losses.

Detailed surveys will determine how much insurers ultimately pay. The final claims total also depends on policy limits, deductibles and the extent of damage confirmed at individual projects.

Insurance losses could rise further if repairs delay commercial operations. Some policies include compensation for revenue lost when damaged projects miss planned commissioning dates or remain unable to generate electricity.

That creates additional exposure beyond reconstruction costs. Hydropower projects often depend on access roads, transmission infrastructure and other facilities that must return to service before operators resume normal production.

Nepal’s non-life insurance market remains small compared with neighboring India. The country’s 14 non-life insurers wrote about $35.06 mn, in premiums during July and August.

Indian insurers wrote about $3.3 bn, over a comparable period. The difference shows the size of the potential Nepal flood loss relative to the country’s domestic premium base.

Nepal’s insurance market relies on domestic reinsurers Nepal Re and Himalayan Re for additional capacity. International reinsurers also participate, including India’s GIC Re and Germany’s Hannover Re.

The scale of the current losses therefore matters beyond Nepal’s primary insurers. Reinsurance recoveries will determine how much of the final bill remains with local carriers and how much transfers to regional or international markets.

Industry executives expect the floods to affect future insurance terms for hydropower and infrastructure projects across the Himalayan region. Concerns center on earthquakes, glacial flooding and the concentration of insured assets along exposed river systems.

Recent disasters have already given insurers several large Himalayan flood events to study. India’s Sikkim suffered a glacial lake outburst flood in 2023, while Uttarakhand experienced a destructive flash flood in 2021.

The Nepal disaster adds another major event to that record. Insurers and reinsurers now have more loss data for evaluating accumulation risk across hydropower projects, access infrastructure and surrounding communities.

GIC Re said the floods could change how the market assesses accumulation and glacial lake outburst flood exposure.

Those changes would affect pricing and capacity for future infrastructure projects throughout the region. Hydropower developments concentrated along the same river systems present insurers with correlated risks when extreme flooding damages several assets during one event.

The current Nepal claims process remains at an early stage, with surveys still underway and several sites difficult to access. Final commercial insurance losses will depend heavily on physical damage assessments and the extent of insured delays to power generation.